This
article, an overview of the growth plans for GE’s “Industrial Internet,” includes
a couple of interesting paragraphs about GE’s plan to revisit vertical
integration and the implications of this move for GE’s global manufacturing
operations and workforce. Though GE’s plans involve a ratcheting up of its
US-based manufacturing, this will not necessarily result in more US-based jobs,
because these new on-shore factories will be for the most part automated and
robot-operated. In anticipation of criticism for moving facilities but failing
to fill them with humans, GE has published a paper which explains that workers
will simply be retrained in how to be
more productive in interacting with the machines, but which fails to
explain how it is that such retraining will not result in job loss. This is
especially disconcerting given that the new form these jobs will take, according to
GE, “will require lots more math and science skills,” which is a
well-known deficiency in the US workforce.
The article above led me to this
article about GE’s relatively recent investment in Pivotal, a VMware
spin-off that will work to develop software for use in GE’s Industrial Internet.
In it, Pivotal CEO Paul Maritz is quoted explaining some of the effects of
universal interconnectedness on business strategy: “Soon everything will have
telemetry…Cellphone companies will want to see if a radio tower is overcrowded,
and then do what airlines do – kick off
the lowest-value customer.”
As the world’s industrial giants become more automated and interconnected,
and hyper smart software engineers figure out how to turn every customer into a
data stream, here we begin to see two effects which may
increase margins but will almost certainly hurt revenues: (1) fewer jobs, and a
workforce insufficiently educated to fill the jobs that remain; and (2) an
opportunity for goods and service providers to identify (and literally excommunicate)
those customers the numbers say they should care least about. Projected out a
few decades, are big tech companies putting themselves at huge risk here by
figuring out more and more efficient ways to cut the human element out of the technology
ecosystem? Forget customer service: the telecom company has decided whether or
not you matter by the time you walk in the door. And if the greatest
innovations of our time are those that make humans less necessary, at what
point do we extinguish the incentive for humans to innovate at all? My bet is
that the companies that figure out how to use these technologies to enhance human
engagement – not minimize it – are the ones that will be most successful in the
long run.
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